I have a bad feeling about this.
Joe Biden has run a solid but unexciting campaign in the face of Trump’s showbiz approach. Trump seems to be getting all the coverage in recent days. Is it desperation – the death throes of a ridiculous egomaniac? Or is the pattern of 2016 repeating? It certainly feels like it.
Hoping for a Biden win – but I find it amazing that there isn’t a Democratic presidential candidate who can land punches on Trump.

The Democrats eh. You had four years. You had one job.
Bra-fucken-vo.
One.
Fucken.
Job.
At this precise moment the orange cretin is sitting on 48% of the popular vote and looks set to win. 48% of Americans have voted for a racist cretin. How bad do things have to get before the Democrats can come up with someone who can top that?
Beware the red mirage. People like populists though, regardless.
Oh well, more votes than anybody’s ever got ever. Happy to be wrong.
But Trump got the second most, didn’t he? Despite all, over 70 million people voted for him. 70 fecking million! There is going to be a big ‘downwind’ from this.
17 million was enough for Hitler.
A big downwind from Trump. Yep.
Incidentally, does this mean we can have that word back? Time was when it was an amusing word for flatulence rather than a depressing word for an overpromoted orange toddler.
Trump – embarrassing or amusing noise made by gases released through an uncontrolled anal sphincter.
I don’t see the problem here.
The “Biden is the worst” Eeyore takes at the top of this thread are ageing like a fine Brie down the back of a radiator.
Yes I am glad that the outcome seems a bit different now. Happy to be wrong.
Username checks out – as they say on Reddit
Trump will win. There isn’t much to stop him. The Democrats rely on “being right about stuff” which is a virtue that got shown the door a long time ago (sadly). At least with Trump in, we can count down the days until he’s gone, it will be hard for him to cling on, and most likely his physical and mental health will decline in the meantime. If he loses, then he will carry on governing his army of goons via Twitter in any case.
Of course, one of his unspeakable family will campaign once he’s got rid of.
The real issue is the complete domination of collective intelligence by the algorithms that push this hateful cretin’s words to people with not enough brain cells to challenge it. The UK can’t be smug either, we have Bozo and we give airtime to Nigel Farrage and Kate Shemirani.
Only way for the Democrats to win is to put Springsteen up as a candidate. He’s more showbiz than Trump.
Heaven forbid, Smiles. Much as I love Bruce, the world doesn’t need celebrity leaders. I’m glad the Democrats didn’t manage to convince Oprah to run – Joe Biden is a safe pair of hands and I think he’s in with a good shot at winning. (I know, has 2016 thought me nothing?) I’m of the opinion that, should he win, he might steady the ship and leave the stage in 2024 for Harris to take over. Of course, later this week I could regret this post.
I agree the world doesn’t need celebrity leaders. However, this is where we are now – we have a reality TV star/huckster as the prez. Springsteen was my pick because there are plenty of people who don’t understand Born in the USA. He could win easily even despite being a decent person.
He’d better not hold any rallies, though – they’d be likely to go for at least three hours.
You could even say he was born to run…if you’re very, very sad.
Only because he was Born in the USA though
Sobering thought…Bruce will be 75 come the next election.
Still not old enough to stand then?
Absolutely correct. We lost what remained of any pretence of political maturity when we elected Boris Johnson and his one issue party of bastards, liars and charlatans.
Yes, the national opinion poll of a 10 point Biden lead, was always misleading as the electoral college means Trump only has to narrowly win the key marginal states.
It is a worrying time as the Guardian headline says the race is tightening in key states. Hopefully it will encourage more Democrats to turn out.
Agreed that Biden was the wrong choice. They needed someone young and inspiring. Every democratic president since 1960 has been young (with the exception of LBJ).
LBJ was 22 years younger than Biden is now when he became president.
Bill Clinton is still younger.
But the real problem with Biden as a candidate is the perpetuation of the same that’s strangled the presidency: the Republicans have had two Bushes and would have liked Jeb last time (and people are talking about Trump’s kids now); the Democrats had Clinton, tried his missus and now it’s Obama’s V.P.
In a country of 330 million people.
What they really want is a royal family.
They’re welcome to ours.
They had one…look what they did to them.
Hats off to 2020, just when you think it can’t possibly be any more shite, it creeps on you and says “Boo!”
It might even be worse than the dire 1980s … no, straight up!
On Wednesday morning I’m listening to Electronic Sound by George Harrison.
Side 1 goes “Bleep, Blop, Bleeeeeep, Dwoing, Hashahashahaah, Dwob,” and Side 2 goes “Whoosh, Blibber-Blobber-Blibber-Blobber,” and it will make infinitely more sense than U.S. Democracy c. 2020.
What allows me hope is how slight his electoral college victory was last time. He’s spent 4 years shouting at the same people and that demographic (non college-educated middle aged white men basically) has shrunk slightly but significantly.
This analysis by the New York Times suggests Biden will win and possibly by a wide margin. The polls show Biden with a far more significant lead than the one held by Hillary Clinton, and many of the likeliest explanations for the polling misfire in 2016 (when they had Hillary winning) do not appear to be in play today.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/02/upshot/polling-what-trump-needs-to-win.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage
I really hope they’re right.
My son came up with this from somewhere. If you like your armed militias to be adherents to a diverse set of neo-dadaist armed aesthetics and modalities aimed at setting off or preparing for the second American Civil War, then the Boogaloo Bois are for you.
https://acleddata.com/2020/10/21/standing-by-militias-election/
Larry Sabato, at University of Virginia, is worth following:
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-president/
I have a Biden feeling that the Democrats are gonna wipe the floor with Trump but I’m more concerned with the senate races rather than the Presidency itself. Fingers crossed 🤞
Keep an eye out for John Osoff. He’s gonna be the Democrats next big thing.
I’ve just Googled John Osoff. I look forward to following his presidential campaign in 40 years time.
The political show ‘The Circus’ has a much more grassroots look at the American political landscape than what is fed through the news channels which I find is a great deal more honest and less frightening. Americans of all stripes are really a lot like you and me.
For us outside America, how does Trump affect our lives? A mate said I don’t give a fuck , let the Americans fight amongst themselves instead of lecturing us on the superiority of their country, culture, economy, values etc.
Secretly we all want America to fail for their arrogance on the world stage. I remember being in Glasgow on 911 and the comeuppance was greeted with a well what did you expect? I sat in a bar and nobody panicked. Everyone was sanguine. We just watched it unfold and ordered another pint. America not Americans has no idea how much it is hated.
They are the only country able to stand up to China’s thirst for world dominance. I think I prefer the US model on balance.
But it is Trump who stands up to China it would seem. Should he get credit for that?
Part of me (the metrosexual liberartarian educated elite ponce part) hopes the mass of votes already cast are all a vote for anyone but Trump.
I don’t think I can take another four years of that idiot. Another four years of Boris is enough for anyone, surely?
Ok , for you, I get BoJo trauma but how does Trump affect you in any way ?
Surely you cannot be serious with that question?
I am serious. @Mrbellows if you don’t live in America, how does he affect you?
I guess there is a general emboldening of Sovereign citizen QAnon wankery but I can’t think of anything else from my couch here in Australia.
I kind of agree, Junior. I don’t think Trump has done anything that affects my life, apart from withdrawing from the Paris Climate Accord, perhaps (but that can hopefully be rectified). I don’t think he’s been as harmful a President as Bush Jr., for example. But this is much to my surprise. I feared at one point he’d start a war with North Korea over twitter insults. The guy is a loose-cannon fruitloop loon, totally unpredictable, totally unfit for office and the thought of another four years of not knowing what he’s going to do next is very unsettling.
I just read Malcolm Turnbull’s autobiography. He is a former Australian Prime Minister who HD some dealings with Trump. Turnbull was a businessman, lawyer, private equity etc. He reckoned Trump was quite predictable as a businessman / deal maker , just not a conventional career politician.
Plus… Brexit is happening, like it or not, and the UK needs someone sensible to trade with.
In the 60’s Australia had a massive trade with the UK. UK joins the Common Market and and many many farmers were bankrupted. I can remember acre upon acre of orchards being bull dozed.
Well, from my POV here in the UK, the world has turned to shit in the last few years, and even more so under Trump’s tenure.
If you don’t think the POTUS has any influence if you live outside the USA, I suggest you google “Geo-political”
Google geo- political? I studied political economy with a major in international relations. I don’t need to look up the meaning of geo-political and I’m disappointed that you would be so patronising. I am asking a serious question. How has your life changed compared to say when Obama was in?
I hate the bombastic, narcissistic, lying prick but I can’t see how it will affect me one way or the other, apart from maybe the sharemarket and the ripple effect on my superannuation (pension fund).
Did you listen to a word the Boss said? Another 4 years of a man who makes George W Bush look like Abe Lincoln is sure as hell going to affect me.
There are so many reasons why a Trump second term is something to be feared outside the US. Let’s start with his rank vulgarity and indecency, his lies and dishonesty, his rule-breaking and undermining of democracy, his complete abandonment of the common good. He celebrates ignorance and encourages public humiliation of intellectuals and scientists. Healthy societies do not display such characteristics. His actions have emboldened populists throughout the world. He has split the western alliance and normalised political thuggery.
But there’s so much more. Trump is an existential threat to the planet and Australia sits right on the front line. You’ve just emerged from the worst bush fires on record. The Great Barrier Reef is dying. If you are at all concerned about the impact of climate change on human societies, then Trump is a huge obstacle in the way. There will be no global solutions to tackle climate change so long as a man like Trump rules the US. Look at his response to the virus. He simply turns his back on inconvenient truths. I believe the climate emergency is real and happening now. We don’t have four more years to waste on a narcissistic, ignorant man-child like Trump.
Thanks – a better response than to google geo political.
“If you are at all concerned about the impact of climate change on human societies”….yes well actually I am concerned. Alas the biggest obstacle to rehabilitation of the reef is our own Federal government.
Reflecting more on this, I think the most significant leadership change, speaking “geo-politically” (Google it if you are unfamiliar with the term), is in China because the leadership can change things so quickly and dramatically whereas in America the levers of government are so much less all-encompassing for want of a better term.
Wouldn’t a US president sympathetic to climate action be likely to have more influence on your own government’s behaviour than a slacker like Trump? The US, like China, still has the potential to lead on these big issues. All Trump offers is excuses for other governments to hide behind.
Possibly.
Australia is a huge exporter of coal and the biggest swing State, Queensland has a lot of coal. The Labor Party probably lost the last election on environmental issues in Qld.
I am off to bed but this popped up and it supports your view @Martin-Hairnet
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/us-news/us-election/2020/11/03/us-election-joe-biden-australia/
Yes, it sounds like a similar story to the UK and elsewhere. A lot of people seem to be shrugging off this infestation of corporate cronyism into politics as nothing new, and nothing to get too bothered about. But it feels far from trivial to me. I’ve been troubled by the lack of journalistic scrutiny of the UK government on matters of national importance such as Russian interference, Cambridge Analytica, the test and trace fiasco, PPE fraud and so on. Without being held to account, the government is free to continue to bend the rules and norms.
Funnily enough, I’ve been watching the recent BBC documentary series ‘The Rise of the Murdoch Dynasty’, and what struck me was how low all politicians have stooped before King Rupert. Even politicians of integrity and intelligence seem intimidated. Surely the buck stops with them? The documentary is depressing because it demonstrates – transparently – that corporate interests rule our political landscape and all politicians thus far have been too craven to do anything about it. Trump, the self-proclaimed swamp drainer, is a figurehead for that dank, shadowy world.
Try reading Private Eye if you’re looking for journalistic scrutiny – they report on levels of political venality in this country (the UK) that sometimes make Trump look like an amateur, certainly like a boorish upstart arriviste; here the Tories have probably been the worst at taking the piss, and they’ve had centuries of practice.
Murdoch’s press – if not Fox News – have now turned their backs on Trump = Game over for the orange blimp.
I honestly don’t see why Private Eye bothers publishing any more. Each edition contains yet more shameful revelations about Boris & Co handing out contracts to buddies etc etc etc and nothing, absolutely nothing, happens. No apologies, no resignations, absolutely nothing.
Boris & Co, like Trump & Co, realised long ago that the attention span of the public is somewhat akin to a gnat’s. Let the storm blow for a few days then let’s get back to feeding the trough. After all it’s what we’re here for, feeding the trough
I diffidently suggested to Private Eye that they start an electronic version for those of us who would otherwise get paper copies 3 weeks late. No plans, etc, with a slight hint of scorn. Tossers.
England will not have become any less of a tiny-minded shithole in the three weeks since publication, so it’ll still be relevant.
@moose-the-mooche true, but I’ll already have read a lot of it on Twitter and in the Grauniad.
Private Eye is the Indie label for in-depth reporters, an A&R for the Sunday papers.
It’s suprising the Grauniad hasn’t bought it and made it shit.
What Martin said.
I’m sorry if I have offended you, Junior, but I had no idea what you studied. Suffice to say, Trump has a definite effect here in Europeland.
FWIW, I have “B. Eng (Hons) MIET” (dull) on my business card, so you could say I’m a Scientist. There’s a difference between science and engineering, but it’s all under the same umbrella.
Enjoy your sleep.
Thanks Steve. The degree was irrelevant to my point I shouldn’t have mentioned it. I took the comment as dismissive when I was serious. I agree the world will be a better place without Trump at the helm in America assuming Biden is competent.
Just heard a swing voter quoted as saying he voted for Biden because he wanted a president who didn’t talk all the time.
@Junior-Wells. Let me get my bearings before I respond to you.
The Presidency of the USA whether we like it or not affects all of us, so to ask that question is quite asinine if not ignorant.
Best regards.
Seems to me you’re flirting with asininity yourself, chum…
That’s such a gorgeous album.
Should any one add to this discussion I will respond tomorrow. It’s bed time here.
Junior, not sure if you’re a subscriber to the AFR, so I am pasting this here, from today’s online edition:
Eight changes for Australia from a Biden victory
A Joe Biden victory promises to draw a line under the turmoil in international affairs that has been a hallmark under Donald Trump’s presidency but would nevertheless mean some changes – including uncomfortable ones – for Australia.
Economy
A blue wave where the Democrats capture the White House, Senate and retain the House of Representatives is likely to spur global markets because of the sense the volatility of the Trump years are over and a unified government will end legislative gridlock. That will be good for Australia. As part of the economic recovery, Biden has pledged to spend $US2 trillion on clean energy, while Congressional Democrats have passed a $1.5 trillion infrastructure bill. That presents opportunities for Australian super funds and infrastructure firms like Macquarie and Transurban. However, businesses’ campaign to cut the company tax rate in Australia could be blunted with Biden promising to lift corporate taxes on US firms.
Climate change
Joe Biden has promised to rejoin the Paris climate change pact as a priority in a declaration of how serious he takes global warming and signalled a need to “transition” away from oil and gas. Coupled with Europe’s insistence on making emissions reduction part of a free trade agreement and UK PM Boris Johnson telling Scott Morrison he wants “bold action” on climate ahead of the postponed Glasgow summit, Australia now faces a pincer movement. Without the cover of Trump, it will be increasingly hard for Australia, often criticised as a global laggard on tackling emissions, to avoid increasing its targets or committing to a net zero emissions goal by 2050.
Trade
The World Trade Organisation has been hamstrung by the Trump administration’s veto on appointing judges to its arbitration panel. Biden is much more likely to seek reform of the body (as does Australia) than blow it up as part of a commitment to multilateralism. But that doesn’t necessarily mean a revival of free trade. While Biden championed the Trans-Pacific Partnership as vice president, he has said he has sought to renegotiate the pact as a prelude for the US rejoining. He is likely to face domestic protectionist sentiment and has promised to tax companies that shift jobs offshore.
Big tech
The Morrison government’s bid to make big tech companies such as Google and Facebook to pay news media outlets for content might run into opposition from a Biden administration. The US has already signalled its interest in the legislation, while European efforts to tax the American tech firms was shelved because of anger from Trump. Biden’s running mate Kamala Harris is a senator from northern California and has close ties to Silicon Valley, with executives flooding her campaign with donations. As a former attorney-general for California, she was criticised for being too hands-off when it came to regulating the tech giants.
China
There has been a bipartisan hardening in attitudes towards China in the US but under a Democrat White House there is likely to be a shift in emphasis. Biden is likely to be much more forthright on issues such as human rights in Xinjiang and Hong Kong. That will significantly add weight to protests from Australia. But in other areas Biden might be less confrontational as he seeks cooperation on issues such as climate change. There is a risk that Australia, which has paid an economic price by standing up to China, could be left isolated.
Alliances
Biden has pledged to revive America’s alliances after Trump belittled and berated long-standing partners in Asia and Europe. The US-Australia alliance is in comparatively strong shape but the US is likely to push for Australia to play a bigger role in the Indo-Pacific and deepen military cooperation, particularly as it looks to breath new lift into its pivot to Asia. The US will continue to press Australia to conduct freedom of navigation exercises within 12 nautical miles of contested islands in the South China Sea – that pressure may get harder to resist if Biden succeeds in coordinating other countries to withstand China.
Multilateralism
Biden, who has a long interest in foreign affairs, is likely to see America engage more with multilateral organisations like the United Nations, World Health Organisation and WTO. That will be welcome to Canberra’s foreign policy establishment. While Morrison warned darkly against “negative globalism” last year, an audit by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade found it was in Australia’s interest to seek reform of multilateral bodies from within rather than leave. A re-engaged America will provide a much-needed boost to those efforts, especially with concerns that China has been allowed to capture many of those bodies.
Political environment
A Biden election victory will provide a fillip to progressives in Australia and will be a reminder that elections are won in the centre ground, not by polarising voters and appealing to the fringes on both the left and right.
I live 45 minutes from the USA, we need them for trade, food supplies etc, having a narcissistic, idiotic, non politician, wannabe dictator in charge of the biggest economy in the world has the potential to screw us up in a big way.
And one example of how he affects the world in a big way is his complete inability to recognise how climate change is causing us to rush towards a complete calamity for the planet. this is the biggest threat to us today, not Covid-19
That seems to be the only pan global impact I can think of. Admittedly it’s a doozie.
It does interact with, contribute to and is affected by soil loss, deforestation, desertification, ocean acidification and eutrophication, species loss, rise in refugees, loss of ground water, sea level rise, etc. The world is too interconnected to hide behind national boundaries or for anyone not to be affected by the policy choices and direction of the US federal government.
WRT the environment, while it will be good to see the needle moving from negative back into positive, it’s worth remembering Biden is the candidate of tiniest improvement. Yes, it’s probably true that he needed to talk about a gradual transition from oil and stick up for fracking to win, but it’s also where he stands. And if the Dems don’t win the senate it will be hard for him to do the little he is determined to do.
But, in terms of how Trump’s presidency has affected us, I would say that a lot of people who, like me, are naturally of a misanthropic bent, were crushed by his victory in 2016. Obviously, a chunk of support was from the star struck/entertainment value wing and a significant per cent age was from the gleefully uninformed/ too busy surviving to bother with this politics b****cks wing, but a huge number of his votes came from people who could see exactly who he was and who liked it.
While, in retrospect, I think I overestimated the proportion which was the third group, the implication was that people are, on the whole, even more appalling than I thought. So it will be somewhat reassuring if – having been presented with a ubiquitous avalanche of evidence of the man’s character – Don’s vote is drastically reduced tonight.
The opposite would have the opposite effect..
At least he hasn’t started a war and has, generally, reduced US troops on foreign soil. US military excursions abroad have hardly been glorious since WWII. He’s only trying to please his base, of course. The American public, on the whole, has been bewildered as to why their boys and girls have spent so long fighting wars. That has stayed his hand when pressing the button, except for that one that killed the Iranian general.
Assuming he loses. In four or eight years time, the likes of Pompeo will not hesitate.
@Tiggerlion I agree with those comments. When he was elected the was a dread that he would be the one to start a nuclear conflagration. The opposite has actually been the case. Very similar to when Reagan was elected. Very little if any worth achieved in his four years in power and the damage to Anerican interests overseas will take more than the next 4 years to repair. However he did promote a friendship between a slew of Arab countries and Isreal which no other president has been able to achieve. He is not a politician he is a businessman – US obsession with wealth may just give him another 4 years. After all his opponent is not exactly dynamic
A closet Trump fan are you not @SteveT.
I haven’t noticed much love for the West emanating from those Arab Nations even less for Israel.
Four more years of this Monster and the climate will definitely be fucked and there won’t be any way of turning things round.
Putin will be very pleased that his pet stands a good chance of being re-elected. Expect old style Soviet Expantion in the coming years.
Trump is a criminal and should face the consequences of his actions.
Nothing could be further from the truth @Baron-Harkonnen as you well know. However I am not one eyed and despite all of his nasty characteristics he is not a warmonger. The UAE and Bahrain have always been friends of the West and many of their leaders past and present were educated in the UK. Their rapprochement to Israel has only happened because of the friendship between Tump and Netanyahu – you can justifiably argue that they are both nasty pieces of work but it has still happened despite the odds. If as is predicted that Sudan follows suit then that will be remarkable because they are hardly moderate.
The election is a mess and Trump’s response is as predictable as it is wrong but because I recognise something good that came out of his tenure does not mean I am a fan.
Bahrain and the UAE have NEVER been in conflict with Israel. In fact both countries have enjoyed economic and security links with Israel over many years. Trump has not brought both countries any closer to Israel than they already were.
These relationships are enhanced by all three nations hostility to Iran. All Trump succeeded in doing was selling more arms (F-35`s) to the umbrage of Israel.
The real issues in the Middle East concern as we all know the Palestinians and Israelis. In fact Trump`s `deal` between the three countries was kept from the Palestinians, hardly a move to bring `Real` peace to the Middle East.
As usual Trump was claiming glory for doing nothing to bring peace to the area.
As for your claim @SteveT that `despite all of his nasty characteristics he is not a warmonger how about his threat to “Totally destroy North Korea” and contrary to popular thinking the relationship between N. Korea and the USA is much worse than before Trump was `voted` in, in 2016. However he is certainly not a threat to his pal Putin. He`s probably still pissing his bed when he dreams of Putin.
How DARE you introduce facts to the argument? etc.
Trump has encouraged ignorance, paranoia, and cruelty. it takes a long time to build up cultural structures that take us beyond our instinctive prejudices into reflection and empathy, but not long to break them down. As a result, I’d like Cheato to get a metaphorical kick in the bollocks then a kick in the head to make sure (yes, I do see the irony given my second sentence). But it needs to be a big enough prang that he realises he can’t BS his way out of it.
I then want him to naff off the world stage, and his view be sufficiently discredited that his enablers are shamed should such values raised again in my lifetime. A jail sentence, bankruptcy, and ruination sufficient for him to have a late onset of humility and deliver a mea culpa
and a request that his followers were wrong to see him as an example would be nice, too. I realise this is unlikely.
Naff off?
That’s what the US election needs – Norman Stanley Fletcher.
As if there aren’t enough “habitual criminals” in it already.
It would be cool if American prisons were named after bands, though:
“You are a habitual criminal .. who expects imprisonment in the same casual manor.. I hereby sentence you to five years in Lynyrd Skynyrd..”
6 months remand at Greenslade?
I don’t fancy the seclusion wing in Glen Campbell.
Ooh you don’t want to be imprisoned there, the Warden is Molly Hatchett.
Just out of interest, is the great big beautiful wall built yet? And is the swamp drained?
‘Cos if not, I’m taking everything else he says to be cobblers.
Think they managed about 15 miles of new wall (and Mexico didn’t pay for it).
Draining the swamp is more difficult than building the wall so yes cobblers is about right.
Perhaps they built the wall on the swamp and it fell over.
“What, the curtains?’ etc
The wall was never acheivable. Just a device or symbol to attract votes. The cost, the logistics. Impossible.
He has managed to build a wall round the White House, be fair.
This is an enormously wealthy man who has made his way to the very top of US society. He is the President of the United States of America. Thousands, perhaps millions, regard him as a hero. And yet he continually paints himself has the plucky underdog who can’t catch a break because some vague enemy won’t let him do what he wants.
This is an allegedly enormously wealthy man. The full scale of debts has yet to be revealed.
There’s a rumor that Deutsche are about to call in their loan on him, which might be interesting.
I thought one of the reasons the NFL owners allegedly black balled him from becoming owner of the Buffalo Bills was they thought his wealth was mostly smoke and mirrors.
When Bloomberg was briefly running:
Bloomberg has hit Trump in another way that might hurt more. In Texas, when asked whether the country wanted a race between two New York billionaires, he replied, “Who’s the other one?”
People in those circles are never looking for change in the back of the sofa though, are they? There are many bankrupt former millionaires that seem to make ends meet quite comfortably.
Just seen Trump on CNN at his headquarters thanking his staff. He looked and sounded tired and weary as though he was beginning accept defeat. I’ve been impressed with his rallies this last week or so. Full of energy, positive about victory, ever a showman, in contrast to Biden’s doddery old man performances. Just now, his tone has changed.
Biden’s ones weren’t in front of live crowds and some were drive-ins. I saw Obama doing a passable standup routine to complete silence.
Ha! Tiggs has warmed to Trump’s hatefests since he’s started performing wearing driving gloves..
I’ve always listened to the beat and the music. The lyrics sometimes sink in a bit later, sometimes I never really hear them at all. However, I’ve read Trump’s lyric sheet and he’s full of sh*t. Still, his rallies are great gigs.
Or ‘music concerts’ as Farridge calls them.
Have you watched them 6 times?
Maybe. They are all the same, aren’t they?
I saw what must have been the same clip. Yes, he looked subdued and spoke in almost considered sentences. Almost.
I’ve also seen various network pundits pointing at swing state maps and running through possible outcomes. Virtually all give it to Biden.
The poisonous bastard Trump will still prevail, I just can’t help feeling.
@Tiggerlion I have to agree with you. Cant stand the bloke or the crap that spews out of his mouth but his rallies are pure theatre and his fans lap it up as if he is some kind of Rock God.
Rock God? Yes indeed! Spinal Trump! Guaranteed to always turn the bullshit factor up to 11.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i05gKtHWjGY
I’m withering between staying up and going to bed now and getting up at 3 or so. As I don’t feel remotely sleepy, I’ll have to rely on wine and Pringles to keep me up until 3 or 4am.
I don’t have any predictions per se but I’m hoping for a Biden win in Texas that will put the tin lid on any thoughts Trump might have of contesting the result.
The slightly bizarre thing for me in all this is that no-one seems to doubt that Biden will win the popular vote quite handsomely (as did Hilary Clinton) – however that is by no means certain to match the electoral college result. Mind you, as we have the House of Lords, I guess we’re not well placed to criticise.
Not just The House Of Lords. We have The House Of Commons.
Not having paid much attention to the machinery of the U.S. system until the last couple of years, I find the more I learn the more I’m convinced there’s not a single element I’d swap for what we have over here with one exception – I do think the two term limit for a leader is a good idea that should be universal..
Some thoughts here from BBC Newsnight person as to why the US election matters to the UK.
Emperor Cheeto is winning 11-0 so far!
It’s OK – it’s the first to 270.
Woo hoo! QAnon supporter Marjorie Taylor Greene appears to have been elected..
That one was a foregone conclusion.🙄
Good site for clear updates as they happen:
https://www.huffpost.com/elections
Thanks HO. That is excellent.
Interestingly the largest one-sided vote is Washington D.C. which went Biden to the tune of 93% of votes.
Wouldn’t it be nice to get on with yer neighbours?
How’s your Bert’s lumbago
Was hoping Biden would take Florida. Not to be 🙁 I have a bad feeling about this ….
Looking bad in Texas for Biden too
The psephologists down here are saying no Presidential election result today possibly not for a few days.
Given the accuracy of their earlier predictions re Biden’s 10-point lead, we’ll probably have aa result before I’ve finished typing this.
Trump says he’s won and is going to the Supreme Court to get counting stopped. You couldn’t make it up.
This is now seriously messy. The Democrats needed a clear victory and they may not have a victory at all. The Republicans have done remarkably well in the House & Senate elections too. They can hardly cry voter suppression since the turnout is so high (way above our elections). It’s all down to just three states and their postal votes. Biden needs to win two of them.
Don’t believe turnout is much above last UK election, if at all. It is up a lot, but from a pretty low base.
And the UK had 3 elections/referendums in a very short time, so there was some voter fatigue.
He has made it up.
He manifestly hasn’t won. But I think he will.
But, my God, wasn’t he awful. Lying to the world and essentially announcing a coup and civil disobedience.
This was entirely predictable though. He prepared the ground by denying the validity of mail-in votes early on and by refusing to say he’d go quietly. It’s how he plays the game. Many warned of this. He probably knows the Supreme Court won’t agree to his demands but he can fire up his followers to a dangerous degree. He’s lit a match and is standing back to watch. Biden still has a good chance of a win. Trump probably knows Biden’s chances are good, that the late votes would favour Biden and not him. Not quite a coup but playing with fire.
Stand back and stand by. ACW2. Bin sayin’ it fer ages.
It’s not looking good at all now if you’re a Biden supporter. I find it profoundly sad that so many people think that Trump is the answer to anything. 71.4% in Wyoming! WTAF? And the Republicans will hold the Senate. It’s difficult to feel any positivity this morning.
@Martin-Hairnet Wyoming is a cowboy state – of course they are going to vote for the Cowboy.
I went through Wyoming once on the way to Yellowstone. We’d driven north from Colorado and found a cheap motel. Got chatting to a middle aged woman there who told me she’d never been out of state. We were fifteen miles from the Colorado border.
He’s doing a great job in causing uproar among his supporters AND his detractors. If there are riots on the streets and people die, this has been engineered by the President.
Every dirty trick in the book. What a thoroughly vile man he is.
But I suspect many of his supporters admire his shenanigans, He’s the sly maverick taking on the powers-that-be and winning.
If Biden had said “we can’t call it , we are hopeful but it is close and we we will sit and wait like all Americans” then Trump may have been more circumspect. But when Biden was so bullish about victory then Trump was always going to react in his usual belligerent, disruptive way.
Well said. One is feeding the other and it’s getting more divisive and tribal all the time. The states aren’t very united these days.
On the bright side @Black-Celebration just got a hamper with 100 comments.
Well you say that but apparently it’s gone to the Supreme Court.
You’re just trying to defraud the hamper process. We all know you shouldn’t get a hamper. I don’t know why we don’t just stop counting the posts now.
It’s a fraud and an embarrassment to our great site….
We were all ready to have a wonderful night opening the hamper and sharing out the CORSAIR TINNED CHICJKEN – it was going to be a. beautiful thing and now that is put on hold. This Will Not Stand. I promise you. Someone said to me “BC’ he said “If anything you should get TWO hampers” l said “Yeah I know!”.
It better be chlorinated, I don’t want me no socialist chicken.
Trump suspects Biden can win with these late counts (counts delayed deliberately by Republican legislatures in order to enable Trumps play). Trump had his play ready to use in this scenario regardless of what Biden would say.
Biden should have learned from what Bush did in 2000, done the smart thing and claimed victory before Trump could do it. As he was ahead in the vote and the electoral college at the time, he could have justifiably claimed he had more right to do so than Trump.
No he shouldn’t have done that. Retain the higher ground, and it would appear even more of a nonsense than Trump’s statement.
In the words of one prominent Trump supporter: it’s world destruction, your life means nothing- the human race is becoming a disgrace.
Is that Jay-Z or Kanye?
Bwahahaha!
Becoming?
He is, rather. I think it’s the chiffon scarf.
Kaboom, kaboom, kabooooom. . .
Good news that Oregon has voted to decriminalise all drugs. People are going to need those drugs to get through the next decade.
ALL drugs?? Eh?
https://www.vox.com/2020/11/3/21514828/oregon-drug-decriminalization-measure-110-results
Vox is still going? Whither Patrick Humphries?
Decade?
Do you know something the rest of us don’t…..
I assume it’s a Neil Young reference.
Revelations and rumours begin to fly.
We knocked on the doors of Hell’s darker chamber
Watching CNN now, still plenty of hope for Biden despite the expected nonsense coming out of Trump’s mouth.
Interesting piece on polls. Main takeout is that with abandonment of landlines harder to survey people. Responses could be down to 3 %.
https://www.theage.com.au/world/north-america/why-the-polls-were-wrong-and-will-never-be-right-again-20201104-p56bf4.html?btis
I clearly remember the 92 general election, Brexit referendum, 2017 election & the 2016 US election.
In all of those the pollsters got it wrong & in all cases they said they would learn from their mistakes, make adjustments to their procedures & get it right next time.
I am inclined to believe that it is educated guesswork
Sure, polling companies will be apologetic, but they will also assure us that they will never let it happen again.
Bag of shite.
They will continue to make forecasts & predictions & mugs like me will pay attention to them.
I fucking despair.
A very good point, Jack, and one that I made to a US-based chum of mine. He insisted that Biden would win – precisely because they have ‘adjusted the polls for inflation’, so to speak. Even then, it’s gone wrong.
I’ve said all along that Trump stands a good chance of getting back in, but I’d bloody well love to be proven wrong.
Polls only ever return results based on the responses of the sort of people who will communicate with pollsters. A lot of people, myself included, actively try to avoid pollsters.
Why?
Because I can’t be bothered with them, that’s all.
If I’m out and about on the High Street I’m either on my way TO somewhere or I’m on my way FROM somewhere. I don’t want to stop and answer a load of questions. I’m sure there are a lot of people who think pretty much the same.
Absolutely right, I do the same. Cannot be bothered. I always avoid those party activists when I’m on the way into the polling station to vote as well. Mind you that’s usually because in my area they’re wearing a blue rosette…
I would be very happy to tell them I didn’t vote for them (and have done so).
If Party 1 can get into power polling fewer votes than Party 2, perhaps it’s not too late for Brentford to get promoted to the Premier League for August 2020?
Gotta be worth a punt.
And I’m going to try to beat Roger Bannister’s 4-minute mile before he does in 1954.
Happens in the UK too.
The party which polls fewer votes forms the government?
When was that?
I seem to remember one election maybe in the 70s when the conservatives won more votes than Labour, but Labour formed the government.
[edit] 1974
https://conservativeelectoralreform.org.uk/history/
also happened in 1951 (which I don’t remember)
https://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/on-the-anniversary-of-a-stolen-election-let-1951s-wrong-winner-vote-be-a-lesson-to-us-all/
I promise you that I haven’t looked up/ googled anything, but did Ted Heath once win more votes but got fewer seats in an election?
I have vague recollections of him saying it on some 70s chat show.
More than happy to be proved wrong.
Febraury 74 – no Conservative majority and no coalition agreement leaving Labour to form a minority government. They went back to the polls in October, which Labour won with a small majority.
Ted Heath resigned soon after, Mrs Thatch came in, Labours majority was gradually eroded, and the Conservatives reigned for nigh on 20 years
Hardly surprising if an election is decided by seats not total votes. Labour in Australia has often got big majorities in the seats it won but not enough votes in other seats to win them. Hence higher vote but fewer seats.
Fair enough if true, but this U.S. Election will ramp up those examples about a thousand.
I hope Biden wins, and the latest news seems far more positive, but the only real winner in all this confusion and vitriol will be those who wish to destabilise the idea of Democracy.
Putin (OSlapheadsAA – Cummings, for example) must be loving it.
Biden takes Wisconsin, looking better and better, no control of the senate is extremely bad, however. And Trump will start all sorts of recounts, lawsuits very soon in all probability.
At this stage, I don’t care about the Senate. That turned out to be a blue mirage. A Trump second term is too hideous to contemplate. I’m trying to stay positive, and any kind of legitimate Biden victory buys time, and exposes Trump to the state courts. Trump will cause trouble on the way out, of course. Who knows what he will try and stir up? But my sense is that Fox News and the Supreme Court will go against him if his complaints lack transparency and credibility.
I don’t know about Fox News, but the Supreme Court surely will uphold the law, which means counting every vote, not just the ones for Trump.
But I was talking to an American colleague and he was very despondent about the Senate whoever wins the Presidential vote.
Nicking the Senate was always a long shot, but the Dems have failed badly here.
Trump wiping his a**e on the democratic system on the way out is bad for America as a whole.
The surge in his popular support reflects badly on humanity in general..
He could end up losing big if Biden takes Pennsylvania.
The practise of voting one party in lower house and the opposing party in the upper house has always annoyed me. I get the argument, house of review, keeps them honest, applies a handbrake etc. But, if you vote for one party to form a government in the lower house shouldn’t you want to actually let them implement their programme? You can always vote them out next time.
Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina. Biden needs just one of these to win the Presidential Election. Trump needs all of them.
Trump will want a recount and he has every right to do that when so many states have been so close – but the writing appears to be on the wall for the stupid old twat.
I do hope this is true…
Even if Biden wins the fact that the Senate stays republican is actually a good thing for Conservatism and Big Business in the US. They get rid of an unpredictable moron and the last thing BB wants is unpredictability.
I have thought about the lack of traction a Democrat President will have with the Senate as it is – and how that will stifle any progress on health care and climate change – but the removal of Trump from the White House will feel so very liberating and allow the US to be taken seriously again on the world stage. The USA is a great, great country and needs to get some dignity back. That, at least, is something I think Biden and particularly Harris will be able to deliver.
Can anyone tell me why the BBC have been showing Biden with fewer electoral college votes than other sources for most of the last 24 hours? At the moment they have hi:on 243, while, for example, The Guardian and the New Yorker both show 264 and within touching distance of the 270 he needs.
Caution? From the Graun:
Our current total of 264 electoral votes for Joe Biden includes the fact that AP have called Arizona for the Democratic nominee. Not all decision desks have yet.
Associated Press have issued this guide to all of the states they have called. This is what they say about Arizona:
The AP called the race at 2:50am. EST Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots cast statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding to allow Trump to catch up. With 80% of the expected vote counted, Biden was ahead by 5 percentage points, with a roughly 130,000-vote lead over Trump with about 2.6 million ballots counted. The remaining ballots left to be counted, including mail-in votes in Maricopa County, where Biden performed strongly, were not enough for Trump to catch up to the former vice president.
Thanks Moose. That makes sense. One of the odder features of US elections to outsiders is how media outlets ‘call’ states for a candidate, and it seems to carry almost as much weight as an official declaration from whatever the equivalent is of a returning officer in the UK.
I find it bizarre that they reveal the count as it is happening and don’t wait until it is finished and confirmed. It just seems to make the whole thing into a circus.
Just like media outlets in the UK calling elections based on exit polls. But they do it 50 times. The votes still have to be counted in both cases.
Polls are one thing, but in the UK they don’t have line graphs showing red and blue lines with the count in each constituency as it happens.
I’ve browsed the discussion boards online for trump supporters, and every spike in those blue lines is “evidence” of voter fraud. Why can’t each state just keep the count under wraps until they have finished counting?
It gives them something to report. Not sure any state has completely finished counting yet, so to have nothing to report for 2 or 3 days would not be acceptable.
I find it a bit bizarre in Canada where we have 5 time zones that they are publishing results from, say, Novia Scotia when voting is still continuing at full speed in British Columbia or Alberta on election night.
The Huff have him at 264 as well. Still not yet looking comfortably like a sane outcome for the USA and all who share the planet with her.
He will get above 270 today or tomorrow, maybe by some margin. With all Trump ‘s legal shenanigans, may not be completely official for weeks. Hopefully the Republican party will remove support for Trump to speed things up.
Any serious thinkers in the GOP would be glad to be shot of him, as he’s a fucking eejit and a liability. Withdraw financial support and let him pay – in advance since he’s a dodgy creditor – for his own mendacious claims. He might stop the tantrum and do a flounce – which is what we want.
I appreciate it counts for zilch, but it’s noteworthy that Biden has now received more individual votes than any other presidential candidate in US history.
Yebbut as Rudy Guiliani said, that’s fake news. No-one has witnessed where all those votes came from, so they could have come from Mars for all we know. Biden himself could have voted 5 times – he could have voted 5,000 times. Wibble.
I like the idea of Biden returning to the voting booth 5000 times in a sort of Groundhog Day time vortex.
It’s a legitimate theory. I for one think we shouldn’t allow the vote to be called until Biden has proven he doesn’t have a time machine.
Re Slug’s post above – On the downside, far from being wiped out, Trump’s own vote has gone up by something like 10% – even if a few of them are probably now coming down with COVID as a result of attending one of his rallies
Very true, but we shouldn’t be surprised that Trump’s vote increased also. For every American who hates him, there’s one who now thinks he can walk on water.
Record turnout, record population so votes are up for all. If you look at a map of the US, the coasts (generally) belong to the Democrats and the Republican heartlands are in the middle of the country. You can go from e.g. North Dakota south to Texas without hitting any Democrat states. These would vote Republican no matter who the candidate was. There are only ever going to be swings of a small number of percentage points in any election.
If Biden wins the popular vote by about 5 million, which could happen, then the polls were not as far out as was first thought. The incumbent President is rarely voted out after one term in recent history so by no means is this a show of strength for Trump.
And very rarely a Republican incumbent. Lost time it happened was Bush senior defeated by Clinton in 1992 and that time Ross Perot took an unusually large third party share of the vote, not far from 20% of votes cast.
Takes the flyover states to the extreme conclusion. And rationalises that stance.
For some time now, the real U.S. election map has resembled the map of the “United States” from 2000A.D. with Mega Cities 1 & 2 on either coast and The Cursed Earth in the middle..
Michigan seems like a dream to me now.
Laugh about it, shout about it,
When you’ve got to choose,
Every way you look at it you lose.
It’s pretty clear now Biden has won, isn’t it? I feel relieved now.
We just need patience. Let Trump bluster and delay, and let him see his lawsuits through, with the comforting thought that Biden will be in the White House next year. As Black Celebration says above, the country can then start getting some of its dignity back.
I think it will also be wise to avoid triumphalism and gloating of any kind, as tempting as that might be. It was a close contest and there are big divisions that need to be healed.
Yebbut Trump has lost (probably), so halle-fucking-leuyah.
I’m looking forward to Trump explaining how dementia sufferer “Sleepy Joe” Biden is also a criminal mastermind who engineered a massive electoral fraud right under the President’s nose.
Oh very good point, chiz. Very good. What a shame it will be completely lost on the Trumpers.
Joe is a puppet operated “Weekend at Bernie’s”-style by Ilhan Omar. The fact he’s always calling out “Malarky” is a dead giveaway. That’s one of her catchphrases..
A slight aside:
IF Biden becomes president in January I believe that he will pardon/ absolve Trump of any/ all crimes & misdemeanours & recommend that all federal authorities do the same for the sake of national unity.
Bearing in mind that he almost certainly will not have the senate onside, he may well be thinking that it may give him some brownie points with the senate going forward (it may also go some way towards drawing the sting from Trump).
But then again, what the fuck do I know?
He can’t be pardoned from State crimes, and there’s a stack of those waiting for him
Which ones?
Genuine question, I’m not up to speed. Not doubting you.
Given the huge implications for national security if Trump is found guilty of something and the hassle of having to jail a security detail to watch over him 24/7/365 if he’s jailed, anyone who imagines Trump will see the inside of a cell is as certifiable as he clearly is.
First of course, you have to get “The Donald” into court and indicted – a prospect his army of attorneys will argue against for years and years and years.
It was pointed out recently that top lawyers run a mile from him because they are aware of the career-ending credibility dive they will experience by being a part of his messy empire: This is why his associates are often just as ridiculous as he is. He can’t get the good ones.
Anthony Scaramouche-Scaramouche is having great career out of being essentially the Jimmie Nicol of the Trump administration.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/05/13/us/politics/trump-investigations.html
thanks
I still find it astonishing that so many folks would vote for a guy who stood buy and did nothing/told lies to boost his appeal while hundreds of thousands of his own citizens perished in a pandemic. And continue to do so. What is a president actually for, and has Trumpism redfined its purpose?
There are so many rational reasons to dislike Trump, to see him as an existential threat to democracy, the environment, the rule of law. If anarchy, hate, a little bit of racism and winding up the libs is your thing, then I guess I can sort of see his appeal. But ultimately where does it get you? Writing in the UK’s increasingly schizophrenic Daily Telegraph the other day Farage claimed that a Biden victory would turn the US into an international laughing stock. It’s a world view I just can’t recognise, but Trumpism is alive and kicking at the Telegraph. This morning Judith Woods has an ‘opinion’ piece with the extravagant headline “Donald Trump gave those poor, patronising Islington liberals the shock of their lives. For the kale pesto brigade to dismiss voters in the US as ignorant, misled or just plain evil, is both fatuous and intellectually lazy.” This kind of hysterical headline is now routine in a once solid, credible centre right newspaper. Why is a newspaper that once traded on traditional home counties conservatism embracing Trumpism? Why is such an indecent man defended in a paper that once held itself up as the epitome of decency? It’s as if the whole foundation of conservatism was built on quicksand.
Trumpism will not go away with a Biden victory. It has infected the body politic and I am confused and concerned.
Wise words. But we enlightened types need to take a long hard look at our own assumptions. That headline might be histrionic but I think, sadly, it’s generally accurate. I can’t dismiss Trump voters (and Brexiteers for that matter) as ignorant and misled, I just can’t.
I would love to see a reasoned debate between Trumpists and anti-Trumpists, where both sides genuinely try to argue their case and convince the other side to see their view. Sadly, such a debate is unlikely ever to happen.
“I can’t dismiss Trump voters (and Brexiteers for that matter) as ignorant and misled, I just can’t.”
I can. They’re fucking idiots.
See also Brexit – all those people said they’d not been listened to.
Well we’ve been listening to you to four years now, and it turns out you’re fucking idiots.
I’m surprised at your surprise at the Telegraph’s shift in direction. I would suggest that the editorial slant of most newspapers is based on enlarging the wealth of its owner(s).
Well, I did have a soft spot for it because it was the paper my dad read, and I hoped it might still have standards. It’s willingness to jump through hoops in order to defend Trump/Brexit etc has depressed me.
All the Telegraph’s good journalists left shortly after the current owners took it over. Private Eye had plenty to say at the time about them and the editor they appointed.
An experienced journalist friend many years ago, despite disagreeing with it’s politics which have always been Tory, reckoned that the Telegraph was the best laid-out of the broadsheets in terms of readability. Dunno if that’s still the case.
Kale Pesto sounds more awful than the people who she has written about it as a reason to dismiss the views of people who dislike Trump.
Kale Pesto is a deli item in Waitrose. Vegans roool!
Sounds like the name of the lead singer from a Modern Romance tribute band.
I was thinking more a punk reporter on the London Weekend Show circa 1977.
I have a vague memory of someone wanting to be a part of the punk scene going by the name of Johnny Rubbish.
Of the Somerset Rubbishes?
The Taunton Set, yeah (sniff) (gob)
Cider punks… the worst kind
I could say that with a surname like that they are more likely to live in Chard or Highbridge rather than Taunton, but I won’t.
Hey punk, where you going with that cider in your hand?
PS. Is it time yet to venture a WAHEYY! yet?
Don’t talk to me about Modern Romance, the libellous bounders.
Another Heston Blumenthal experiment.
Kale Pesto… Snail Porridge… Sherbert Hummus… Teriyaki Bogies… Chimp’s Cock Tzatziki
….TM, in a very real sense, FTL
My god, they are slow at counting. In Pennsylvania it seems certain counts just stop and they say they will continue tomorrow. It is currently 2pm there and they are not counting in some areas! Nevada say they should be done by the 12th!
Kinnell, the numbers haven’t changed since yesterday morning. Get those Sunderland South cats on the case!
They need to pull their fingers out. Most of the numbers were counted on Tuesday night quickly enough. They need to have a night shift involved. The process of an election over there is a bloody mess, actually. Their system is a joke.
Still more to count. How many people live in Pennsylvania?
All of us on the planet? Twice?
Chris Mullins would be being sworn in by now.
Most of the problem is being caused by GOP observers objecting to every single ballot, which means they have to be put aside and checked further. The objective is simply to slow down (and possibly stop) the count.
Ballot papers are also much more complicated than the papers you see at a British election.
A two-hamper thread with no tunes? For shame. When this is so appropriate…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lP5Xv7QqXiM
One for Donnie..
I’m listening to his rambling on and on and on. He can probably do this all day.
Reminds me of Eric Idle in the travel agent
“What a sad night for the United States of America to hear their president say that, to falsely accuse people of trying to steal the election……”
The words of the CNN anchor as the Donald Trump speech finished.
I never thought that I’d see the day when that summary was needed, genuinely shocked. What strange times we live in
Apparently some of the main networks stopped broadcasting his shit after a minute or two.
And who can blame them. But the fact that they cut away from POTUS is still shocking, this is the president of the USA effectively arguing against democracy (counting the votes).
Never a fan of Trump but I never thought he’d stoop to this level. There must be a lot of people who have enabled him now shifting uneasily and working out how to adjust their position.
Trump may indeed take Arizona, the gap is closing. If they stop counting now everywhere Biden wins getting to 270, also with Nevada.
* not that they would
I think he has blown a gasket, noggin-wise. That was incoherent and embarrassing, even by his standards.
I’m somewhat reminded of the last days of Ceausescu…
Here’s hoping…
Where’s a grassy knoll when you need one?
Far too dignified. I would prefer the Mussolini method.
Melania will be on the phone to one of her stand-ins already, ‘I’ve got a favour to ask …’
Well done to the news networks for cutting away from Trump basically lying repeatedly in his presser last night (which was timed to happen during their prime time news slots), citing lack of evidence.
On the other hand, what the fuck have you been doing for the last four years?
Saying “Ooo, lookit the funny orange man!” as they have been doing for nearly forty years. We end up paying a high price for what media outlets do to keep our attention.
Which networks was it who cut him off?
I watched the full speech on youtube and it’s a proper car crash.
NBC, ABC, CBS definitely.
Thanks, yeah I’ve seen it now. Quite dramatic.
Can you imagine what it has been like in the White House, they wouldn’t let him out for 36 hours. It was probably like the famous clip in “Downfall” but without Adolf’s thoughtfulness or restraint.
Very amusing @Vincent! Have an Up.
Many thanks. As if by magic, this has popped up:
Great minds, eh?
There are a couple of very funny moments
And I suspect it is not far from the truth. A mega-tantrum.
Despite, I still feel the desperate fraud will succeed and retain the Presidency.
He’ll career madly off the rails again and again and he’ll commit at least one more impeachable act. He’ll face impeachment again. His defenestration will eventually take place whether peacefully or at the cost of civil unrest.
I believe that should Biden get over the line civil unrest is almost certain to happen.
He will never go quietly & he will fight to keep the presidency until the last drop of other people’s blood is spilled.
“This is my presidency, and I will defend it with your lives”
Yep.
Is there no one in the Republican Party who can, if need be, talk him some sense to him, once the final result is announced?
No.
Any more questions?
No, I think that he’ll be persuaded to go by the party. They will have another useful idiot lined up to front them. There’s an almost infinite supply of power-hungry principle-free politicians out there .
I heard another theory from a savvy friend of mine. Trump might know he is on the way out, but is creating as much bluster and chaos as possible in an attempt to negotiate immunity for his crimes in exchange for conceding. In other words, I’ll call off the riots if you promise not to put me in prison. What do you think?
I think that anything could be possible with that gentleman. He’s got the Supreme Court after all, and the party been seeding the lower courts with Rep-leaning judges for years.
Trump going to prison is a non starter, if he is prosecuted (which I think highly unlikely), it will take years to even get to court – it’s not going to happen.
Should he theoretically be convicted of high crimes which would ordinarily merit jail time, how can the permanent armed security Detail protect him while he is behind bars?
The more you think about it the more obvious it is that he will not face any charges.
The 3 most recent SCOTUS appointees will be aware that if they manage to retain the presidency for Trump it will stay with them for decades to come & will be thought in Law schools across the land forever. It will taint them forever & for their families for generations to come.
Their names will always be associated with it & regardless of their position they will never leave it behind.
IF Biden becomes president, he will pardon Trum of any/all crimes & misdemeanours & he will asks all states to join him in doing the same for the sake of national unity.
This will get him some brownie points with the republican controlled senate & will also have the effect of drawing the sting out of Trump.
All well & good in theory, but what the fuck do I know?
I’m not sure Trump conceding will make much difference with his more rabidly armed-and-dangerous supporters. They’ll claim he was forced to concede and still believe that the presidency has been stolen. I don’t think he’s in control of them any more, if he ever really was.
He will not succeed. No chance
The Republican Party and its support is an enigma to me. It’s a party that seems devoted to the ongoing enrichment of the 1%, voted for by people who stand to gain little or nothing from their vote. Many Republican voters enjoy and benefit from Obamacare and other Democratic policies. They just can’t bring themselves to acknowledge it at the polls. Outside the culture wars, the Republican party offers nothing to the majority of its voters.
They are demographically dying out too as (ironically) immigration lowers the age range, and also more people are getting college educations. And they know it.
“Republicans is fine
If you’re a multi-millionaire
Democrats is fair
If all you own is what you wear
Neither of them’s really right
‘Cause neither of ’em care”
A new one for me! Catchy!
There’s definitely a mental barrier between the two sides who just don’t “get” each other.
From what I have picked up, what rational Republican voters want is to:
– Keep their pensions and savings
– Keep wages low (which enables businesses to thrive and keep jobs in the US)
– Stop petrol costs from rising
– Stop healthcare insurance going up
Which I suppose is fine. Theoretically there is nothing wrong with democracy based on rational self-interest.
I wonder whether things will go the way of insurrection. Already people are backing away from him. Once he has lost power things might be different.
This will all make a great movie in about ten years time. Matt Damon as Trump. Script by Aaron Sorkin.
Music by Limp Bizkit.
It’s been called. He’s now a pile of burnt orange breadcrumbs! Pennsylvania – Biden’s home state – has turned blue. Now for four years of different deadlock!
Not called yet I think. But Biden has taken the lead (also in Georgia), he could get well over 300.
According to huffpost JB is now ahead in all 4 remaining states. Popcorn please, usherette…
Well he is, will definitely won 3 of them I think and probably Arizona, but Trump has been catching up there. There is also North Carolina and Alaska which Trump will almost certainly win.
If Biden wins those 4 then it is 306 to 232 and pretty convincing, also making it harder for Trump to mount legal challenges in all those states. There will be re-counts though and there are also some outstanding votes from overseas military personnel to come in.
Well can’t they STOP THE COUNT in Arizona?? I don’t understand why they are still counting? Joe Biden won it, we all know he won it. Those additional magic votes for Trump are very suspect.
Exactly, as the great John King explained on CNN, on election night it looked like Biden could take Ohio and Florida, he had big leads and the Trump caught up and went ahead. The reason? They counted the mail-in ballots first in those states.
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2020/nov/06/cnns-john-king-and-his-magic-wall-keep-viewers-entranced
Shep Smith was a Fox News guy.
‘Would you take him out of my ear, please‘
There’s one thing I know, Old Shep has a wonderful home.
Here’s a video posted yesterday by Nigel Farage talking about his best buddy and hero. Farage says: “I think ever since the second debate the guy’s been on fire. I mean literally been on fire.” (0.45)
Now, if he has literally been on fire all this time that would certainly explain his meltdown.
Farage is a complete irrelevance in the US election.
Sorry, should have mentioned. It’s Trump that he’s talking about. Trump has, literally, been on fire since the second debate. And no one has had the benevolence to piss on him.
As he’s stood for Parliament seven times and not got anywhere near, he ought to be an irrelevance in our elections too. But for some reason he must always get all the coverage he wants.
Not forgetting he lost to a man dressed as a dolphin.
I remember him – he had a real sense of porpoise.
Up!
And an up for you too.
Wait for the ramp.
Edge of my seat for a cartoon.
Oh, go on then…three celebratory hampers for Mr Celebration!
Thank you to my brother-in-blackness for getting this over the line. I’m glad I installed the hamper shelf in my new shed.
Hamper shelf sounds like some kind of gentleman’s surgical appliance.
The word “truss” was phased out many years ago.
It hasn’t been heard since public Enemy’s “Can’t Truss It” in 1991.
No boyeeeeeeeeeee
CNN have just announced Biden as the new President.
“Fake news,” no doubt.
Trump tweeted 40 minutes ago:
I WON THIS ELECTION, BY A LOT!
Does that mean that QPR’s impending 1-2 defeat at Blackburn Rovers would actually be a 2-1 victory?
Time to raid Twang’s whisky cabinet!!
Well thank god for that. Your move, Donald.
Shouldn’t that be Rightmove?
Now fuck off and die you piece of orange crap.
Trump’s phone slips from his dying hand, the camera closes in on his lips, and with his last breath he whispers, ‘Covfefe’.
Snot & coffee coming out of my nose!
I don’t think my pants will ever dry…
The Drudge Report sums it up:
https://drudgereport.com/
Are we still doing Stonehenge tonight?
*knocks on door of the White House*
Who’s in here?
Good fucking riddance. You were as shit at this job as you have been at every other one.
Fair enough, but what about Donald Trump?
I thangyew!
Not for the first time my gut feeling about an election was wrong. I have never been so happy to be wrong in my entire life.
Me too. I’ve been Private Fraser-ing (we’re doomed! DOOMED!j on this since the get go.
So pleased to be quite wrong
Not least among Trump’s many achievements is to get you three hampers.
Yes – thanks Donnie!
Now the orange oaf has got 70-odd days to cause havoc before he is dragged from the White House. God knows what shit Biden is going to inherit. Nuclear attack on Tehran, naval battle with China?
And don’t be surprised if he runs again for 2024.
I’m not sure. I think the Republican party will abandon him now.
One of his idiot kids maybe?
Timothy Snyder interviewed on Channel Four news paints Trump as a credible flight risk.
He owes perhaps billions of dollars to no one knows quite who. Plus a litany of possible prosecutions. The despicable coward may attempt to flee the scene. And even possibly willing to sell information.
All conjecture of course.
Great.
So can we now rejoin the EU and have David Bowie and Victoria Wood back?
Cheers.
If only Moosey, if only…
The one immediate improvement in the US will be no more of his super-spreader rallies. Dozens, if not hundreds of people will now not get Covid 19 because of this result. They won’t be grateful but, hey.
And we’ll hopefully never have to hear that “God Bless The USA” song that played when he appeared.
This will also leave Trump free to continue his secret battle against the cabal of Hollywood children’s blood-drinking cannibal pedophiles that I read about online
Crikey, that Steve Hoffman lot need to calm down a bit.
My favorite story right now is the latest campaign press conference, that the Trump people held at the Four Seasons in Phillie.
Not the Four Seasons hotel.
The Four Seasons Landscaping company, which is small storefront in a strip mall area. Flanked by a sex shop and a crematorium.
THAT is where Giuliani was standing when the news broke.
There’s a joke about dildos in there somewhere.
Christopher Brookmyre tweeted something to the effect of:
they’re just putting into practice the country telling them to fuck off and die.
The whole Four Seasons debacle reminded me of Spinal Tap where because of a inches/feet mix up, the band ended up on tour dancing round an 18 inch model of Stonehenge. Lofty intentions – actual performance ludicrous.
Kamala Harris is at least as important as J.B. in this election. A vote for him is a vote for her, and she’s the most dynamic, positive force for good in U.S. politics right now. She could be POTUS. Yes, yes, I do rather fancy her in a powerful MILFY sort of way. That’s irrelevant, and it does you no credit to have brought that up.
Watching Biden’s speech right now. What a massive relief to hear a literate, articulate, passionate President! AND HE JOGGED TO THE PODIUM! That’s more than I could have done.
Happy, happy, happy!
Last December the president-elect described the prime minister as a “physical and emotional clone” of Donald Trump.
Pretty sharp, this one.
Before public speaking engagements, in his later years, Robert Mugabe seemed to undergo a transformation looking years younger. I expect they gave him a botox treatment and pumped him full of speed to keep him awake.
Botox is it? Putin’s face hasn’t moved since 2008. He’s like the Face of Boe.
I have to have botox injections every three months.
Can I say now that my right knee has never been less wrinklier.
Nothing like!
https://images.app.goo.gl/XjJ5ZR7pmbP49Ghv9
I stayed up to watch it. It was a good speech, he seems like a well-rounded human being and it’s basically a huge relief to have a grown-up back in charge of the USA.
He’s going to have a helluva honeymoon period while we all adjust to having a normal person in the job.
Don’t think so. His priority is COVID. COVID hottest spots are Trump areas coz COVID is fake and masks are an infringement of my civil liberties, and this gun here says I am right.
So the turn things around he has to require masks , impose lockdowns etc or at least work with States to do so.
Gonna be ugly
Still worth an airing:
God help us
I noticed that the Adult Book Store next to Four Seasons Total Landscaping has “viewing booths”. What is a “viewing booth” in … oh hang on, I probably don’t want to know.
Do you mind? Knock next time!
This story! If Rudy wasn’t speechless the rest of us are!
https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-universe-has-a-message-for-porn-adjacent-rudy?ref=home
Let’s not forget that the landscaping place deals in manure …
Trump’s dog, having been asked to leave the park:
In fact, unlike most presidents, who have functioning families which often include a pet, not only does DJT not have a dog, but the very idea he could muster the necessary empathy is unimaginable..
A point made in a Biden campaign ad
Eh? The Biden campaign ran an ad about Trump not having a dog..?
Yup
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/video/news/video-2264710/Video-Joe-Bidens-campaign-release-ad-questioning-Trumps-lack-dog-companion.html
‘Kin’ ‘ell!
That’s a bit nichetastic.
I thought the Clintons had a cat called “Socks”, don’t recall a dog..
They did.
A Lab called Buddy
Socks the cat and Buddy the Dog both featured in Steve Bell’s “If” cartoons in the Guardian.
Pet ownership is a huge and therefore worthwhile niche. Easily on a par with sports-love.
See What’s He Building In There? by Tom Waits.
“He has no dog….”
Must be a wrongun’.
A particularly effective criticism in rural and small-town USA, I reckon.
An article on Donald Trump and the Republican Party by the Irish writer Fintan O’Toole in the New York Review of Books.
Great piece.
https://www.nybooks.com/articles/2020/12/03/democracys-afterlife/
This will not end well is the only conclusion I can draw from that piece. We seem destined to repeat the mistakes of history. SAD.
Trump has just fired Mark Esper, his defence secretary. That sounds like a development of some concern.
Some are saying he wants someone (the previous 4 weren’t meek/nuts enough, apparently) who will let him invoke the Insurrection Act:
“Whenever the President considers that unlawful obstructions, combinations, or assemblages, or rebellion against the authority of the United States, make it impracticable to enforce the laws of the United States in any State by the ordinary course of judicial proceedings, he may call into Federal service such of the militia of any State, and use such of the armed forces, as he considers necessary to enforce those laws or to suppress the rebellion.”
Standard stuff from the dictator playbook.
With Four Seasons gardener Rudy unable to dig up any dirt, and David Bossie – head of Trump’s legal strategy – out with a case of Covid-19 he caught at the big non-victory party at the White House, it looks like Trump will be side-lining the courts and going straight for the coup, with a new defence secretary to provide the muscle and Barr to provide the cover.
Troubling developments – add to this that a few weeks ago that charlatan Mike Flynn was on YouTube taking the Qanon oath of allegiance, so those clowns think they have the military, or a portion of it, on their side. I remain confident though, that Trump, in the vernacular of our US cousins, will get his ass handed to him if he tries any of this malarkey.
Sheesh what a thought. It seems unimaginable that the USA could end up in some kind of messy civil war… or coup… or whatever it would be.
I’m starting to think it’s a possibility, but the sensible, grounded part of my head says “nah, no way, it would never happen”….
That would be a right old two and eight, as Walter Cronkite would have said.
Trump has made a lot of enemies in the CIA and the Pentagon. The army won’t forget what he said about veterans. The other thing is that these gun totin’ rednecks would shit their pants if they were up against something tougher than their usual opponents – unarmed blacks, teenagers in high schools, endangered species.
Zebras don’t tend to have rocket launchers.
Well put, Moose
Hopefully you’re right. I’ve seen a fair few messages from Trump supporters online along the lines of “Bring it on, we are locked and loaded…”, but hopefully that’s just hot air.
Latest rumours are that he wants to remove the heads of the CIA and the FBI. Scorched Earth policy.
I was under the impression that he got on well with Haspel.
“We are locked and loaded”. But you’re not bullet-proof. Try firing at trained people who will fire back with superior weaponry and see what happens. A fat idiot with a gun is not a soldier. Bring it on indeed.
They will khak their khakis.
I agree.
Saying that you would be willing to lay down your life for a cause you believe in is a lot easier than actually laying down your life for a cause you believe in.
Frightening unarmed opponents is easy.
I suspect that well trained soldiers & marines who are better armed than they are might give some of them second thoughts.
It might also have them going to Walmart to buy some brown underwear…
I just realised I myself used a Trump Trope up there “some are saying.” Apologies. I am going out for a walk. I may be some time.
Would the US Army be willing to back him in a coup?
I very much doubt it. I think he’ll leave the White House in Handcuffs (or an XL body bag) if he tries that.
I also don’t think the Republican party’s big-business backers will want that kind of disruption. There will be a lot of pressure exerted to settle this quickly and peacefully.
Do they ever get round to counting the votes in the last few states or did they decide they couldn’t be arsed?
Been wondering much the same thing myself.
Still ongoing!
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020-election-uncalled-races/
Every vote must be counted, else there’s no point in casting a vote.
I’ve had quite the tumultuous experience in the past 24 hours with a friend who is full on MAGA. There is just no amount of reasoning that will convince them. They are lost to time.
It seems a very peculiar mass delusion. I wonder if in future they will look back on this shameful and messy post-election period and regret the stance they have taken? Probably not. I suppose this is just the world we live in now.
I haven’t given up after all. I’m still working on this one nut that is my friend. I think I’m making progress.
The pileated Woodpecker is my spirit bird.
In all seriousness, the pileated woodpecker is a beautiful bird. A large woodpecker, with broad square wings, I remember watching them in awe when I lived in upstate NY. Their grace and movement cheered me in the long cold, snowy winters.
@Martin-hairnet. My back yard backs right into a provincially protected park. I’m always amazed when I’m lucky enough to encounter them. I’m at the Mad hatters tea party.
Interesting thought from the twitters: why are the GOP not insisting that the favourable-to-them Senate votes are not recounted? They appear on the same ballot papers.
Because they are shameless and immoral and no longer believe in democratic rules and norms?
I think that you are absolutely right.
Said this before, I will not believe Joe Biden is president until I see him sworn in.
That is really fucking scary.
Mike Pompeo isn’t playing with a full deck, and hasn’t for quite some time.
He has been unfit for any office he has held.
This will drag on for weeks yet, I reckon.
There are no legal or constitutional requirements obliging a candidate (or a sitting president) to deliver a concession speech; rather, it is a custom of courtesy.
Once he admits defeat, as he must, Trump could take a leaf out of Al Gore’s book. To break the impasse of the disputed 2000 election, which was decided by 500-odd votes, Gore proclaimed: “For the sake of our unity as a people and the strength of our democracy, I offer my concession.”
He also cited Democratic Senator Stephen Douglas’ 1860 concession to Republican Abraham Lincoln in his remarks, quoting: “Partisan feeling must yield to patriotism. I’m with you, Mr. President, and God bless you.”
More on this here: https://www.dw.com/en/concession-speech-trump/a-55530599
Looks like another hamper will be heading towards NZ. However, I haven’t seen any indication that BC intends to share his ample rewards.
That’s because the hampers are mine. They belong to me.
No…not two. Four.
He’s not going to concede, and he never will. But just as with everything else he does, he’s working on ensuring he extracts the maximum personal gain from the situation, and he’s been laying the foundations for that for months, just in case he lost. He may not be able to hang on to power, but he’s establishing a narrative which will provide an income stream for many years to come.
He’s already fund raising, and you can imagine just how powerful the dreadful injustice handed down to him by Biden is going to loosen those wallets. The rallies will continue, with all that gate money and merchandise. He will “author” more books he’ll never read, and ensure that his lifetime entitlement to security always, always uses Trump properties. He will dangle the prospect of running again in 2024 in front of his disciples as well as his family who have inherited all of his mendacity and will be hoping to get his blessing for a shot at a job he doesn’t really want.
Trump isn’t interested in politics and isn’t a politician. He’s been a registered Democrate in the past and as recently as 2013 had donated money to Kamala Harris’s Senate camgaign fund. He backed anything he thought might benefit him. He’s going to be a pain to the GOP going forward because he needs the cash and his income stream will be milking the hard right.
I agree. He’s setting up his next job. This may possibly be a media boss, setting up his own right wing subscription news channel. According to punditry on MSNBC. And how right they were about the Biden landslide. Anyway…
If this is the case and if enough of his suitably aggrieved base cough up he could gross about a billion bucks a year. He may be dicky mint now but what with that and sundry book deals and pundit gigs of his own the vile prick can probably keep his golden bog very easily.
The Republican Party won’t get any more money from big business until Trump and his cabal are gone now. Too much disruption is bad for business and there is a heap of money to be lost if things get really messy.
The elephant in the room is the fuck-up of the administration’s Covid (non-)strategy. No recovery can happen while there’s no coherent plan to deal with it or its economic aftermath.
Oh sorry, I appear to have posted this on a thread about the US…
I’m not so sure Mike. For one thing businesses will look to buy favours from anyone with power and influence, red or blue. The second is that if Trump’s second term seems credible in terms of attracting votes, the money will follow. His low regulation, low ethics “I’m a businessman” manrta will attract money like flies to a two day old turd in the sun.
All these threatened lawsuits challenging the vote will cost vast amounts of money. The lawyers on either side will be laughing all the way to the bank but I’m not sure his backers will want to pay the bills for a long-drawn-out fight in the midst of a pandemic. These are serious capitalists motivated by the desire to make money. A lengthy dispute about who is actually in charge would be very bad for business.
Presumably the US government, not Biden and the Democrats, will be the ones the lawsuits are aimed at, being the ones responsible for the conduct of the election. Trump will have to finance his side of the litigation.
Trump and the RNC are cashing in on a major fund raising opportunity. According to Rolling Stone, the names on the GOP mailing list would have received just under 20 e-mails in just one day to “Stop The Steal” and “Fight The Hoax”. In somewhat smaller type they were obliged to point out that there’s a 50/50 split which permits up to half funds raised to be applied existing debt.
Trump isn’t funding much of this. Of the suits I’ve seen they are local Republican parties suing the bodies accountable for elections at state level. It’s almost wholly for show, and the cases are being tossed as soon as they arrive. But it’s worth GOP support because the long term narrative is to push the idea that the election process can’t be trusted, paving the way for elections to based on Facebook likes.
Was watching CNN last night and they were saying that privately some “senior Republicans” were telling them that whatever Trump is doing is ridiculous, publicly they are supporting him because of fear of repercusssions from his large (crazy) fan base.
Losing the American way. Not accepting defeat. Those guys wrote the book on this. They literally wrote Trump in.
American Way
Threatened by us
Drag a few creeps away in a bus
American way
Prisoner lock
Smash every creep in the face with a rock.
Here’s a more cheerful election story.
“I had no plans to stand for election, until Nikolai Loktev asked me to stand against him,” 35-year old Marina Udgodskaya told reporters in Povalikhino, Kostroma. “He is head of the village, and a member of the ruling United Russia party, and I am his cleaner. He told me one day that, under Russian law, he could not stand for re-election unopposed, so I agreed to help out by being the other candidate. I have no interest in politics, and did absolutely nothing. But people kept coming and voting for me, and I won by 62% to 34%. I’m now the mayor, which is not a turn of events I had expected.
Refusing the job isn’t an option, because by law I would then have to pay for the entire cost of new elections. But I’ve been a cleaner for years , and I’ve never had anything to do with paperwork. I don’t know what I’m supposed to be doing, so I’ll have to become mayor and then find a way to curtail my own authority. Everything is fine locally, the economy is doing wel, there is lighting and water, and no big problems, so I don’t know why people voted for me. The result was a big shock. Perhaps people wanted to send a message to the Kremlin.”
©Rossiyskaya Gazeta, 28/9/20.
Spotted by Howard Gethin and republished in Private Eye No. 1534, 6th-19th November 2020.
Beautiful
Georgia and Arizona wins confirmed. Biden won fairly big in the end. What say you sceptics who dismissed him as the wrong candidate? Seems like he was exactly the right person who did it the right way.
I say it indicates that a U.S. political party might know more about U.S. politics than me.
Although we can’t be certain that another candidate might not have done just as well by picking up votes elsewhere, it does seem that the orthodox wisdom (and the pressure applied by the black vote* being overwhelmingly for him) of putting in good old middle America Joe paid off.
(What a strange country the U.S. is – does the phrase “the black vote” mean anything in the U.K.?)
I was sceptical about Biden and I was wrong. Perhaps keeping it safe was the best way to get Trump out. The revolution can wait.
This guy is cogent
Trump’s lawyers seem to be baling on him.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/nov/13/trump-law-firm-withdraws-pennsylvania-election-case?CMP=fb_gu&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR2CWp-VB_VJdxnwx5t_uZ1RBH3M-cvrLGski5NH93U0vI8uuCKYVe7_MpM#Echobox=1605281155
Could it be that Trump will flounce now (or soon), rather than wait till January? Leaving vice-president Pence to hand over the presidency to Biden then?
I did read somewhere that there is a (conspiracy) theory that Trump will bail, leaving Pence as president for a couple of months purely so that Pence can grant him immunity……
From palmerreport:
“When Donald Trump starts pardoning everyone – and he will in the end – I hope you all won’t start nervously fretting about how it means he’s somehow magically winning. It’ll be the end of him. His pardon spree will be his concession speech, because after that he’ll be toast. And it won’t keep him or his family out of prison on state charges.
The media has spent the past four years breathlessly hyping the notion that Trump was going to pardon everyone at any minute, so you can be excused if you’re not aware that Trump hasn’t ever pardoned a single one of his co-conspirators. Trump did commute Roger Stone’s sentence, but that’s not a pardon. The pardon spree never did happen. But now it will.
Trump’s pardon spree will be the absolute end of his fading political viability. Even some fraction of the dummies who just voted for him will decide they’ve seen enough. He knows it too. It’ll be a reminder that he’s not actually going to run in 2024, no matter what he claims.
No president has ever tried to pardon himself, his family members, or his criminal co-conspirators. So these pardons will all be challenged in court, and there’s no precedent for how it’ll play out. Anyone who claims to know is just guessing. It’ll take years to play out.
But the point is that pardons aren’t magic wands. They won’t protect anyone on state charges. They may get thrown out in court anyway. And since pardons are admissions of guilt, they’ll open Trump and his people up to all kinds of litigation going forward. In fact, if any of Trump’s underlings accept a pardon, they’ll no longer have any Fifth Amendment protections, and they’ll be required to testify against Trump at trial. It’s a sticky mess that won’t go well for Trump’s side.
And yes, there’s a hypothetical scenario in which Trump resigns and has Pence pardon him, in the hope that it’ll have a better chance of holding up in court. But even that wouldn’t protect Trump from state charges, which is why he’s going to prison no matter what.
In any case, only two things matter when it comes to whatever Trump does with pardons: 1) They’ll be a surrender, not a secret magic plan to politically win. 2) They can be worked around with state charges, which can’t be pardoned by any president. He’s still going to prison.”
Sorry HPS, but Trump will NOT be going to prison no matter how much you & I want it to happen.
If for no other reason, how are they going to provide a permanent armed security detail for him if he is in Wormwood scrubs?
“Harry Grout he’s so genial… He’s the genialest man…”
That’s a good point, JTB, but I do wonder (with precisely no knowledge of judicial procedure in the USA) that his hoped for potential status as a convicted felon strips him of that privilege.
I would think protecting his security in prison would be a lot easier (and cheaper) than out in public.
Two specialist prison officer/bodyguards on duty 24/7 (i.e. six men plus holiday relief) and the job’s done.
Out in the wider world a lot more people and resources would be needed.
The right to privacy of an imprisoned convicted felon is severely curtailed anyway, so he could be under close protection at all times even if he doesn’t like it.
If he was a normal citizen under as much state and Grand Jury scrutiny, there would be a real chance of court procedure, conviction and punishment. His gang has been imprisoned for lesser crimes – it’s important we don’t forget this. It’s not a vain hope that he gets convicted, it’s a real possibility. Remember when we all believed he couldn’t possibly be president? He has no magic immunity from state crimes, none at all.
And if he does pardon his cronies – and pardoning thus far has not been a thing for him – by a peculiar quirk of the justice system, that legally obliges them to testify in any trials against Trump, in full. They have no recourse to the Fifth. So anyone Trump pardons could become a key witness against him.
Trump has, thus far, pardoned 25 individuals charged or convicted of federal criminal offenses.
It worked for Jeffrey Epstein!
😂
So, 10 days since Joe Biden made it past the 270 marker and POUTUS is still crying in his pram.
Crucially, nothing has happened. None of his cunning ploys have paid off. The courts and the media pull the rug of logic and law from under his feet on a daily basis. The world looks at this fool for what he is and shakes it’s head.
When will it sink in that no one that matters cares one iota about him and his feelings now.?
What’s amazing is that his supporters are still rooting for him and maintaining the line that the election was a scam. It’s depressing that that line has stuck now. There will be people ten, twenty, thirty years from now still talking about the time the election was stolen from them. Sigh.
If you have the time to spare, and the inclination, legal twitter yesterday was a great place to be. Giuliani had a VERY bad day at the office, and the commentary was top notch.